발사 전 발사장 주변 해상 위험구역 안전확보는 필수 조건이다. 해상안전이 확보되지 못한 경우 발사는 중지 또는 연기되는 상황에 직면하게 된다. 하지만, 수상 레저 활동 인구 증가 등으로 해상 공공안전 확보에 어려움이 발생하고 있다. 통제해역 내 선박 진입, 수상 레저 장비의 무단출입과 소개 명령 불응이 해당 된다. 본 논문에서는 발사체 개발 및 발사장 운영 전문가 등 22명을 대상으로 델파이/ 계층분석법을 활용하여 해상 공공안전 위협요인을 10개 항목으로 도출하고, 해상안전 확보를 위하여 개선하여야 할 항목 5개를 도출하였다. 본 논문에서 분석한 결과 해상안전 확보를 위하여 가장 개선이 필요한 항목은 발사장 주변 위험구역 설정과 통제에 대한 관계법령 개정이나 단행법 제정 필요성 이 있다. 본 논문은 전문가 의견에 대하여 중요도와 우선순위를 분석하고 일관성을 검증하여 객관적인 의견을 제시한 부분에 의미가 있다고 사료 된다.

Securing safety in the maritime danger zone around the launch site before a launch is a fundamental requirement. If maritime safety is not ensured, the launch is halted or postponed. However, challenges have arisen in the process of securing public safety at sea due to factors such as the increasing population engaged in water leisure activities. These challenges include unauthorized entry of vessels into controlled areas, unauthorized access by water leisure activity participants, and non-compliance with regulations. In this paper, we employed the Delphi/Analytic Hierarchy Process to survey 22 experts, including professionals in launch vehicle development and launch site operation, to identify 10 factors posing threats to maritime public safety. Additionally, we identified five issues that need improvement for ensuring maritime safety. This study verified the consistency of expert opinions and conducted an analysis of importance and prioritization, objectively confirming the necessity for amendments to relevant laws or the enactment of new laws concerning the establishment and control of danger zones around launch sites.

Public safety, Maritime safety, Pairwise comparison, Delphi, AHP (Analytic Hierarchy Process)

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